India Commercial Banking Report Q1 2015

India Commercial Banking Report Q1 2015

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, June 2014 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2013-2018 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 73 Countries Reviewed In 2014 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2011-2018 8
Commercial Banking 9
Political 11
Economic 13
Business Environment 15
Industry Forecast 17
Opportunities For Banking Sector 18
Larger Capital Base To Boost Stability And Credit Growth 19
Risks To Outlook 20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 21
Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Market Overview 23
Asia Commercial Banking Outlook 23
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013 23
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios, 2014 23
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (USDbn) 24
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2014 25
Economic Analysis 26
Mining And Manufacturing To Return To The Black 27
Reining In Subsidies Key For Sustainable Long-Term Economic Growth 28
Table: Economic Activity (India 2009-2018) 30
Competitive Landscape 31
Market Structure 31
Protagonists 31
Table: Protagonists In India's Commercial Banking Sector 31
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 31
List Of Banks 32
Table: Public Sector Banks 32
Table: Foreign Banks In India 33
Company Profile 35
Bank of Baroda 35
Table: Stock Market Indicators 36
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 37
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 37
Table: Key Ratios (%) 37
HDFC Bank 38
Table: Stock Market Indicators 39
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 40
Table: Key Ratios (%) 40
ICICI Bank 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators 43
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
Punjab National Bank 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 47
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) 48
State Bank of India 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators 51
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 51
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 51
Table: Key Ratios (%) 52
Regional Overview 53
Asia Overview 53
Political Concerns To Weigh? 58
Virtuous Cycle For Economic Growth 59
Global Industry Overview 60
Global Commercial Banking Outlook 60
Financial Sector Reform A Key Factor In Loan Growth 65
Demographic Forecast 69
Table: India's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 70
Table: India's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 71
Table: India's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 72
Table: India's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 72
Methodology 73
Industry Forecast Methodology 73
Sector-Specific Methodology 74
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 75
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 76
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 77

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