Cambodia and Laos Telecommunications Report Q1 2015

Cambodia and Laos Telecommunications Report Q1 2015

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View :

Demand is already outstripping supply in Myanmar following the launch of mobile services by Ooredoo, Telenor and the rebranding of MPT in partnership with KDDI and Sumitomo. Affordable prices for SIM cards has seen each operator sell over 1mn new subscriptions in the first month of operation, with the competition expected to drive further uptake. As a result of this, Myanmar is set to become the fastest growing market in the world. The influx of foreign capital into the telecoms sector highlights the growth potential we see for Myanmar's telecoms industry. By contrast, we expect investment remains low in Laos and Cambodia, with growth opportunities limited by the low ARPUs, prominence of prepaid subscribers, fierce competition in overcrowded markets and the uncertain regulatory environment. In fact, international operators such as VimpelCom have endeavoured to exit investments in Laos and Cambodia, while conditions remain volatile.

Key Data

- Release of data from the Telecommunications Regulator of Cambodia has led to some revisions in forecasts for Cambodia, while Laotian projections remain mostly unchanged. Consolidation between a number of mobile operator's saw large net losses over 2013 but bodes well for the market development over the long-term.
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Mobile SWOT 9
Wireline SWOT 12
Industry Forecast 14
Cambodia 14
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Cambodia 2011-2018) 14
Laos 19
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Laos 2011-2018) 19
Mobile 19
Mobile ARPU 20
Fixed Line 21
Broadband 21
Myanmar 23
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Myanmar 2011-2018) 23
Mobile 23
Fixed-Line 25
Broadband 25
Industry Business Environment Overview 27
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 27
Table: Asia-Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index - Q115 31
Market Overview 33
Cambodia 33
Regional Perspective 33
Table: Cambodia Mobile Market Regional Comparison, 2013 34
Key Developments 34
Mobile Growth 35
Market Shares 36
Table: Mobile Market Share (%) 37
Table: Active Mobile Operators (October 2014) 40
Usage 40
Table: VimpelCom Operational Data, 2010-2013 (latest data available) 43
4G 43
Mobile Content 44
Fixed-Line Market 46
Broadband Market 48
Asia Mobile Content 53
Increased Smartphone Adoption A Key Enabler 53
Mobile Games Sector Competition Intensifies 54
Three-Year Outlook For Asian Mobile Games 55
How Mobile Operators Fit In 56
Laos 57
Regional Perspective 57
Table: Laos Mobile Market Regional Comparison, 2013 58
Key Developments 58
Mobile Growth 59
Table: Mobile Market Growth 61
Mobile Market Shares 61
Table: Laos Telecommunications Subscriber Mix 63
Usage 63
Table: VimpelCom Operational Data, 2012-2014 64
Mobile Content 64
Fixed-Line Market 64
Broadband Market 66
Myanmar 70
Key Developments 70
Mobile Growth 71
Mobile Prices 72
Table: The Competitive Dynamics Of Myanmar Mobile Market 75
Networks 75
Table: Yatanarpon Teleport History 84
Industry Trends And Developments 86
Cambodia 86
Laos 87
Key Market Developments 89
Cambodia 89
Myanmar 92
Regulatory Development 94
Regulatory Overview 94
Cambodia 94
Laos 96
Myanmar 96
Table: Myanmar: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 97
Licensing 99
Myanmar Regulatory Developments 100
Competitive Landscape 101
Table: Key Players - Cambodia Telecoms Sector 101
Table: Key Players - Laos Telecoms Sector 101
Table: Key Players - Myanmar Telecoms Sector 102
Company Profiles 103
Lao Telecommunications 103
Mobitel 107
Telecom Cambodia 111
Regional Overview 116
Demographic Forecast 120
Table: Cambodia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 121
Table: Cambodia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 122
Table: Cambodia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 123
Table: Cambodia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 123
Demographic Forecast 124
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Laos 1990-2025) 125
Table: Key Population Ratios (Laos 1990-2025) 125
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Laos 1990-2025) 127
Table: Population By Age Group (Laos 1990-2025) 127
Table: Population By Age Group % (Laos 1990-2025) 128
Glossary 129
Table: Glossary Of Terms 129
Methodology 131
Industry Forecast Methodology 131
Sources 133
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 133
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 134
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 135
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