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48 pages •
By Euromonitor International
• Nov 2018
Growth momentum in many of the world’s economies might have peaked in 2018 and global expansion is projected to start cooling down gradually. Global real GDP growth is forecast at 3.8% in 2018 (a pace similar to 2017), declining to 3.5% in 2019-2020. Overall global risks outlook has worsened since August. Escalating trade barriers, higher...
Global automotive growth is expected to cool on slowing global trade and persistent trade policy uncertainty. Following last year's 5.3% expansion, the sector's output is expected to rise by 4.6% in 2018, and 3.5% in 2019. Once again, growth is being driven by the emerging markets - especially China, India, and Eastern Europe.
We forecast growth in global consumer goods production to peak in 2018 at 3.8%. While several labour markets are beginning to see rising real wages, headwinds are mounting from trade tensions, rising inflationary pressures due to rising oil prices, and falling sentiment indicators. We expect global growth to fall to 3% in 2019.
49 pages •
By Euromonitor International
• Aug 2018
Global growth is forecast to reach 3.8% over 2018-2019, but the outlook has turned patchy. Among the advanced economies, the US is projected to see a stronger than expected growth, while the Eurozone, Japan and the UK have experienced some bumps in 2018. Emerging economies have not escaped the growth disparities either. Rising trade tensions,...
We still expect the eurozone economy to bounce back in Q4 as some of the transitory factors that caused the sharp slowdown in Q3 start to fade. However, weak survey data is casting doubts on the resilience of the economy and much of our expectation still rests on the assumption of a strong bounce in Germany. But we have kept our GDP growth...
Country Comparison Chartbook - Key Indicators: Euro Area Summary Since the introduction of globalization to the world’s markets, considerable economic power has shifted East. Economies across the world have shrunk and expanded rapidly in the face of financial crisis, political instability, increasing...
December PMIs came as a nasty surprise for the eurozone, with the composite index falling to a four-year low amid a plunge in services activity. As it has been the case throughout the year, temporary factors were again partly to blame. But the loss of momentum suggested by the survey data is hard to ignore and indicates that growth in Q4 will...
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