United States Tourism Report Q1 2016

United States Tourism Report Q1 2016

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Tourist arrivals will grow by 2.6% in 2016, with growth set to continue to 2019 as a result ofgrowing arrivals from markets such as Latin America, and a robust domestic tourism market. This will havepositive implications for the accommodation sector, with major hotel groups continuing to expand theirpresence in the country.

Key Updates And Forecasts:

? We view domestic tourism as a key component of the overall market and have introduced a new data setthis quarter to reflect this. We now track the average number of tourism departures per 1,000 of thepopulation, and assess that 0.24 US citizens per 1,000 will leave the US in 2016. This is a relatively lowfigure, indicating that many US citizens holiday within their own country.

? We are now forecasting a decline in arrivals from Europe in 2016, falling by 1.09% to 16.6mn. We do notexpect European arrivals to return to growth until 2019, but believe that rising arrivals from LatinAmerica, and Mexico in particular, will compensate for this decline from Europe.
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Key Forecasts (United States 2012-2019) 5
Tourism 7
Industry Forecast 8
Table: Inbound Tourism (United States 2012-2019) 12
Table: Tourism Receipts (United States 2012-2019) 13
Table: Hotel Accommodation (United States 2012-2019) 15
Table: Tourist Departures and Consumption (United States 2012-2019) 16
Industry Risk/Reward Index 17
Tourism Risk/Reward Index 17
Table: Americas - Tourism Risk/Reward Index 18
Security Risk 18
Market Overview 20
Competitive Landscape 24
Domestic Hotel Groups 24
Table: Domestic Hotel Groups 24
International Hotel Groups 25
Table: International Hotel Groups 25
Methodology 26
Industry Forecast Methodology 26
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 27
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 29

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