Fighter Aircraft Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecast (2020 - 2025)

Fighter Aircraft Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecast (2020 - 2025)

  • November 2020 •
  • 107 pages •
  • Report ID: 5989455 •
  • Format: PDF
The fighter aircraft market is estimated to register a CAGR of 3.95% during the forecast period (2020-2025).

- An increase in the geopolitical rift between nations has encouraged the adoption of advanced fighter aircraft to modernize the existing fleet and enhance their aerial defense capabilities.
- Technology advancements in stealth and precision weapons are further supporting the development of the fighter aircraft market, as each nation wants its combat capabilities to be up-to-date.
- However, despite the growth in demand for fighter jets, budget constraints might prevent developing countries from opting for next-generation fighter jets and force them to proceed with the upgrade activities of existing old fighters to cut costs, which may hinder the market growth.

Key Market Trends
Conventional Take-off and Landing is Projected to Register the Highest CAGR during the Forecast Period

Technological advancement and lower procurement costs associated with aircraft that perform conventional takeoff and landing are one of the major drivers propelling the demand for the aircraft in the market. These aircraft are also capable of carrying a higher payload of weapons and equipment along with a much larger combat range. New fighter aircraft programs, like F-35A, China’s J-20, Su-37, Mig-35, Su 57, and India’s Tejas MK2, are anticipated to replace aging fourth-generation fighter aircraft with 4.5 Generation and 5th Generation aircraft during the forecast period. Aircraft modernization programs for F-16, F-15, and F/A-18 are expected to keep its user engaged with improving aircraft capabilities and life extension. §Canada, India, Brazil, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Taiwan are some of the countries that have opted to fly upgraded/modernized existing aircraft platforms instead of the costlier stealth aircraft, which also have a longer delivery lead time. §In April 2018, Dassault Aviation and Airbus signed an initial agreement to jointly work on Europe’s Future Air Combat System. The new fighter jet program will eventually replace the current generation of Rafale fighter and Eurofighter aircraft by 2035-2040. Such developments render a positive outlook for the conventional take-off and landing segment of the market during the forecast period.

Asia-Pacific is Expected to Witness the Highest Growth between 2020 - 2025

The Asia-Pacific region is marred by political rifts between prominent nations such as China, India, Japan, and South Korea. This has fostered the initiatives undertaken by the regional countries to modernize their fleet of fighter aircraft either by foreign procurement or indigenous development of sophisticated combat aircraft. In recent years, China has tried to compete with the United States in the design and production of the newer generation of fighter jets. Though lagging in the development of aircraft engines, China has produced a variety of new generation fighter aircraft, including the stealth fighter, J-20. China is also building a new carrier-based fighter jet to replace its J-15 fighters after a series of crashes and mechanical failures. China plans to create at least four aircraft carrier groups to fulfill its naval ambitions. The maiden flight of the new aircraft is expected to take place in 2021, and it may enter service between 2025-2028. This new aircraft will be a medium-sized stealth aircraft to supplement the heavy J-20 stealth fighter jet and will help the Chinese Navy’s critical shortage of a stealth fighter jet which can compete with US’ F-35B and F-35C.

By the end of Q1 2020, Japan phased out its fleet of nearly half-century-old F-4EJs, which are expected to be replaced by F-35As. Under the 2020 budget plan, Japan is expected to buy six F-35B stealth fighter jets capable of short take-off and vertical landing at USD 725 million. The Japanese government initially placed an order for 42 F-35As, and later in December 2018, it approved an increase in the order to 147 aircraft, which would also include 42 F-35B short take-off and vertical landing (STOVL).

The recent escalation of tensions with Pakistan and China has forced India to increase its defense spending. To avoid a gap in the aerial combat capabilities, the Indian Air Force is planning to acquire 450 fighter aircraft for deployment on the northern and western frontiers of the country, by 2035. As part of the modernization plans and focus on indigenization efforts of the Indian Air Force, IAF is set to finalize a deal with the state-owned Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) for 83 LCA Mk 1A and an additional 12 Su-30 MKI from Russia.

Competitive Landscape
Prominent players, such as Lockheed Martin Corporation, The Boeing Company, United Aircraft Corporation, Chengdu Aircraft Industrial (Group) Co. Ltd., and Saab AB held a significant market share, as of December 2019. The market share of Lockheed Martin Corporation is bolstered by the high delivery volumes of the F-35 fighter aircraft. The company’s dominance in the market is supported through relentless R&D of high-performance fighter aircraft and technologies that render its products superior to engage and neutralize airborne, ground, and hostile naval forces. The availability of several variants and continuous product development cycle enables the enhanced operating life of the aerial assets. The robust R&D framework also attracts potential buyers who opt for Lockheed Martin’s products due to their higher performance reliability and potential upgrade potentials. For instance, the new F-16 Block 70/72 combines capability upgrades, most notably the advanced Active Electronically Scanned Array (AESA) radar with a new avionics architecture, and structural upgrades to extend the structural life of the aircraft by more than 50% beyond that of previous production F-16 aircraft. Hence, in February 2020, the Singapore Air Force awarded a USD 67.58 million contract to upgrade its fleet of F-16s, comprising 62 F-16C/Ds, including 14 based in the United States and 48 F-16C/Ds in Singapore at Changi AB and Tengah AB. The upgrade will include incorporating an AESA radar and modern avionics similar to the F-16V.

Reasons to Purchase this report:
- The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
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